This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX (SPCX), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both TMUS and SPCX or their subsidiaries.
An announcement by TMUS or SPCX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TMUS and SPCX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 10%, with No at 91%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 10%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $6. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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