This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX (SPCX), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both TMUS and SPCX or their subsidiaries.
An announcement by TMUS or SPCX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TMUS and SPCX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Yes is priced at 6% and No at 94%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 6% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $132, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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