This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nous Research officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Nous Research will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nous Research (https://x.com/NousResearch), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
September 30, 2026
$1.2K Volume
4%
December 31, 2026
$876 Volume
11%
March 31, 2027
$125 Volume
16%
June 30, 2027
$1.5K Volume
18%
September 30, 2027
$4K Volume
17%
December 31, 2027
$3.7K Volume
22%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?
The current front-runner is December 31, 2027 at 21%, ahead of June 30, 2027 at 16%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?
Traders currently imply a 21% chance for December 31, 2027. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will Nous Research launch a token by ___ market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2028 (494 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?
Total traded volume on this market is $11.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will Nous Research launch a token by ___ on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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