This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by August 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source: www.hltv.org
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change before September?
Yes is priced at 21% and No at 79%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change before September?
Traders currently imply a 21% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
How much money is trading on Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change before September?
Total traded volume on this market is $6.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change before September on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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