This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 15%, with No at 86%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 15%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (131 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?
$2.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
Alberto Núñez Feijóo80%YesNo
Pedro Sánchez16%YesNo
December 3146%YesNo
July 312%YesNo
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 202614%
