This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?
Yes is trading at 15% and No at 85%, based on live order-book prices on Polymarket. The numbers move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?
The market gives Yes a 15% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026 market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (184 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $383 - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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