This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Yes is priced at 91% and No at 10%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Traders currently imply a 91% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will Israel election happen as scheduled market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 27 Oct 2026 (64 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will Israel election happen as scheduled on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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