This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
At 96% for Yes versus 4% for No, the order book sees little doubt here. Even so, the price stays live and can swing on fresh news.
What do traders predict for Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Traders price Yes at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $153.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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