KPIs · Apple

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

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$173.2K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Yes is priced at 99% and No at 1%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Traders currently imply a 99% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Total traded volume on this market is $173.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.