gaming · Culture

Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?

$73.4K Volume
31/08/2026 23:59
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Warden
$1.2K Volume
88%
Wither Skeleton (again)
$436 Volume
77%
Skeleton (again)
$5.9K Volume
80%
Zombie (again)
$3.7K Volume
75%
Enderman
$4.2K Volume
65%
Ender Dragon
$449 Volume
55%
Blaze
$3.3K Volume
54%
Wither
$2.7K Volume
62%
Elder Guardian
$381 Volume
32%
Piglin
$2.3K Volume
28%
Zombified Piglin (again)
$226 Volume
29%
Vex
$1.1K Volume
25%
Phantom
$827 Volume
50%
Creeper (again)
97%
Spider (again)
97%
Iron Golem
$525 Volume
18%
Ghast
$3.4K Volume
17%
Hoglin
$1.3K Volume
22%
Pillager
$3.9K Volume
8%
Witch
$2.6K Volume
15%
Polar Bear
$341 Volume
19%
Zombie
99%
Slime
$2.4K Volume
4%
Wither Skeleton (again)
50%
Creeper (again)
50%
Skeleton (again)
50%
Resolved 6
Creeper
$11.2K Volume
Yes
Skeleton
$1.3K Volume
Yes
Spider
$13.8K Volume
Yes
Wither Skeleton
$1.3K Volume
Yes
Zombified Piglin
$3.7K Volume
Yes
Creeper (again)
$968 Volume
Yes

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET, in which they will attempt to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Kai or Speed following an in-game death between market creation and the end of the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes."

An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message. If a mob has been renamed, this market will resolve based on the actual mob type that caused the in-game death rather than the name displayed in the death message.

A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count.

Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death.

Only in-game deaths of the two accounts played by Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed will count. In-game deaths of any other player in the world, including guests, moderators, or co-streamers playing on their own accounts, will not count. It does not matter who is physically at the controls when an in-game death occurs; only whose account died in-game.

In-game deaths in any Minecraft world played as part of the marathon will count, including restarts on new seeds, and including if Kai and Speed modify or abandon the objectives of the challenge, change the ruleset, or play outside of Hardcore mode at any point. No in-game death will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage.

Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.

This market will remain open until the marathon ends, regardless of whether the challenge is completed. If the marathon ends without a qualifying in-game death, or if the marathon is cancelled or never begins, this market will resolve to "No". If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time.

The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the marathon on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.

Resolution Source: www.twitch.tv

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?
At 86%, Warden has pulled far clear of Skeleton (again) (75%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?
With 86% implied for Warden, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (20 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?
$73.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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