Bitcoin · Weekly

Bitcoin above ___ on August 12?

$909.4K Volume
12/08/2026 16:00
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54,000
$633 Volume
99%
56,000
$409 Volume
99%
58,000
$234 Volume
99%
60,000
$3.3K Volume
99%
62,000
$7.5K Volume
98%
64,000
$853 Volume
78%
66,000
$2.4K Volume
30%
68,000
$5.2K Volume
5%
70,000
$3K Volume
2%
72,000
$531 Volume
1%
74,000
$292 Volume
1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin above ___ on August 12?
54,000 dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, 56,000, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin above ___ on August 12?
Traders price 54,000 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Bitcoin above ___ on August 12 market resolve?
Mark 12 Aug 2026 (3 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin above ___ on August 12?
$909.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Bitcoin above ___ on August 12 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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