Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Fraud / Fraudulent
96%
Communist
$453 Volume
77%
Russia
$14 Volume
74%
Biden 5+ times
$119 Volume
69%
Venezuela
$3.4K Volume
62%
Middle East
$737 Volume
56%
Fake News
$288 Volume
46%
Make America Great Again
$407 Volume
42%
Hottest
$460 Volume
44%
World Cup
$108 Volume
38%
Interfere / Interference
$1 Volume
94%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$1.2K Volume
32%
Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times
$791 Volume
32%
Israel / Israeli
$508 Volume
33%
China
96%
Crooked
$370 Volume
45%
Iran / Iranian 20+ times
$304 Volume
24%
Transgender
$60 Volume
20%
Fentanyl
$167 Volume
20%
Ukraine
37%
Maduro
$1.1K Volume
17%
Iraq$270 Volume
17%
Six Seven
$2 Volume
15%
Nuclear 15+ times
$765 Volume
9%
Annihilated / Annihilating
$136 Volume
40%
-No Qualifying Event-
$1.7K Volume
4%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?
Fraud / Fraudulent dominates the field at 93%; the nearest challenger, Communist, trades at just 74%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?
Traders price Fraud / Fraudulent at a 93% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation market resolve?
The market runs until 17 Jul 2026 (3 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?
$13.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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