This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Danish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Royal Danish Navy and other branches of the Danish Armed Forces are considered part of Denmark’s military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 2%, while No trades at 98%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 2%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the US x Denmark Military clash before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Traders have put $78.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade US x Denmark Military clash before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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