This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 6%, with No at 94%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 6% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $46.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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