Maria Machado · Trump-Machado

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

View on Polymarket

$23.4K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

Trade on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

Past

Jan 31

Dec 31

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Yes is the outsider here at 6%, while No trades at 94%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.

What do traders predict for U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 6% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31 market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (175 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Total turnover stands at $23.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.