This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between November 26, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within the listed date range. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's date range and FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Yes
$37.8K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the US bank failure by December 31? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on US bank failure by December 31? (Resolved)?
Total turnover stands at $1.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
Similar Markets
0 (0 bps)78%YesNo
1 (25 bps)15%YesNo
↑ $8037%YesNo
↓ $6535%YesNo
$7199%YesNo
$7099%YesNo
Up99%
Down1%
NVIDIA86%YesNo
Apple9%YesNo
October Meeting47%YesNo
September Meeting44%YesNo
December 3112%YesNo
September 306%YesNo
↓ $35022%YesNo
↑ $3756%YesNo
