Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
This one is tight: Yes at 46%, No at 54%. When a market trades this close, small news moves the price fast.
What do traders predict for Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
Traders give Yes a 46% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31 market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (131 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
$732 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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