This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
July 31
$4.2K Volume
14%
August 15
$1.8K Volume
74%
August 31
$3.3K Volume
89%
Resolved 1
July 17
$1.1K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Trump declassifies new UFO files by?
At 86%, August 31 has pulled far clear of August 15 (66%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Trump declassifies new UFO files by?
Traders price August 31 at a 86% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Trump declassifies new UFO files by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (41 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Trump declassifies new UFO files by?
Total turnover stands at $4.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Trump declassifies new UFO files by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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