This market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 Tour de France champion.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Tour de France is cancelled, postponed after July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Tour de France website.
Slovenia
$8.7K Volume
93%
Denmark
$1.3K Volume
6%
Belgium$556 Volume
1%
Norway$868 Volume
2%
France$789 Volume
3%
Mexico$592 Volume
1%
Australia$409 Volume
1%
Austria$516 Volume
1%
Canada$440 Volume
1%
Colombia$454 Volume
1%
Czechia$474 Volume
1%
Ecuador$474 Volume
1%
Eritrea
$434 Volume
1%
Germany$507 Volume
1%
Great Britain
$334 Volume
1%
Ireland
$415 Volume
1%
Italy
$435 Volume
1%
Kazakhstan
$434 Volume
1%
Latvia
$433 Volume
1%
Luxembourg
$409 Volume
1%
Netherlands$364 Volume
1%
New Zealand$410 Volume
1%
Poland
$410 Volume
1%
Portugal$410 Volume
1%
Spain$376 Volume
1%
Switzerland$434 Volume
1%
USA$415 Volume
1%
Analysis & News
France or Spain? Inside the $1.8 Billion World Cup Winner Market
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Tour De France 2026: Winner Nationality?
At 92%, Slovenia has pulled far clear of Country A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Tour De France 2026: Winner Nationality?
Traders price Slovenia at a 92% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Tour De France 2026: Winner Nationality market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 26 Jul 2026 (17 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Tour De France 2026: Winner Nationality?
Total turnover stands at $21.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Tour De France 2026: Winner Nationality on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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