This market will resolve to the cyclist that wins the 2026 Tour De France scheduled for July 4, 2026 through July 26, 2026.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed cyclist to win the 2026 Men Elite at the Tour De France per the rules of the UCI, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tadej Pogačar
$130K Volume
93%
Jonas Vingegaard
$166.3K Volume
5%
Isaac del Toro
$66.5K Volume
2%
Remco Evenepoel
$47.2K Volume
1%
Paul Seixas
$63.2K Volume
1%
Florian Lipowitz
$40.9K Volume
1%
Juan Ayuso
$37.4K Volume
1%
Tobias Halland Johannessen
$1.8K Volume
1%
Tom Pidcock
$7.4K Volume
1%
Cian Uijtdebroeks
$2.6K Volume
1%
Mattias Skjelmose
$2.4K Volume
1%
Richard Carapaz
$4.8K Volume
1%
Antonio Tiberi
$1.5K Volume
1%
Derek Gee-West
$2.5K Volume
1%
Matteo Jorgenson
$279 Volume
1%
Thymen Arensman
$1.8K Volume
1%
Adam Yates
$6K Volume
1%
Jai Hindley
$579 Volume
1%
Lenny Martinez
$493 Volume
1%
Ben O'Connor
$2.6K Volume
1%
Kévin Vauquelin
$1.8K Volume
1%
Ben Healy
$593 Volume
1%
Luke Plapp
$293 Volume
1%
Lennert Van Eetvelt
$479 Volume
1%
Egan Bernal
$6.6K Volume
1%
Brandon McNulty
$293 Volume
1%
Sepp Kuss
$2.9K Volume
1%
Michael Storer
$5.3K Volume
1%
Matthew Riccitello
$293 Volume
1%
Ilan Van Wilder
$279 Volume
1%
Valentin Paret-Peintre
$579 Volume
1%
Warren Barguil
$479 Volume
1%
Analysis & News
France or Spain? Inside the $1.8 Billion World Cup Winner Market
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Tour De France 2026: Winner?
At 93%, Tadej Pogačar has pulled far clear of Cyclist A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Tour De France 2026: Winner?
With 93% implied for Tadej Pogačar, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Tour De France 2026: Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 9 Aug 2026 (32 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Tour De France 2026: Winner?
Total turnover stands at $606K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Tour De France 2026: Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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