Culture · magazine

TIME Person of the Year 2026

$26.7K Volume
31/12/2026 00:00
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Zohran Mamdani
$12.5K Volume
36%
Pope Leo XIV
$6K Volume
19%
Donald Trump
$340 Volume
15%
Elon Musk
$222 Volume
14%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$188 Volume
8%
Dario Amodei
$177 Volume
9%
Bad Bunny
$100 Volume
8%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
$5.3K Volume
4%
Shehbaz Sharif
$140 Volume
6%
Marco Rubio
$374 Volume
7%
Artificial Intelligence
$162 Volume
11%
Péter Magyar
$208 Volume
7%
James Talarico
$58 Volume
8%
Sam Altman
$240 Volume
7%
Christina Koch
$135 Volume
13%
Reid Wiseman
$108 Volume
12%
Jerome Powell
$43 Volume
8%
Alysa Liu
$69 Volume
6%
Taylor Swift
$93 Volume
7%
Jeremy Hansen
$75 Volume
10%
ChatGPT
$96 Volume
8%
Victor Glover
$60 Volume
9%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.

Additionally, the following rules apply:

If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.

If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person.

If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous.

If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017.

If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for TIME Person of the Year 2026?
The current front-runner is Zohran Mamdani at 36%, ahead of Pope Leo XIV at 18%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Traders currently imply a 36% chance for Zohran Mamdani. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the TIME Person of the Year 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $26.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade TIME Person of the Year 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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