If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
August 31, 2026
$1.4K Volume
4%
December 31, 2026
$6.5K Volume
30%
June 30, 2027
$219 Volume
89%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by?
The current front-runner is June 30, 2027 at 76%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 25%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by?
Traders currently imply a 76% chance for June 30, 2027. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jul 2027 (311 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by?
Total traded volume on this market is $8.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
