Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
PLQ
$3.2K Volume
39%
CAQ
$1.8K Volume
38%
PQ
$1.1K Volume
25%
PCQ
$618 Volume
1%
QS
$1.1K Volume
1%
PVQ
$829 Volume
1%
Party A
50%
Party B
50%
Party C
50%
Party D
50%
Party E
50%
Party F
50%
Party G
50%
Party H
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Quebec General Election: Second Place?
The current front-runner is Party A at 50%, ahead of Party B at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Quebec General Election: Second Place?
Traders currently imply a 50% chance for Party A. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Quebec General Election: Second Place market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 5 Oct 2026 (36 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Quebec General Election: Second Place?
Total traded volume on this market is $8.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Quebec General Election: Second Place on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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