This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
$1B
$320 Volume
5%
$50M
$83.3K Volume
18%
$100M
$26.5K Volume
33%
$200M
$7.6K Volume
12%
$300M
$4.8K Volume
24%
$400M
$420 Volume
70%
$500M
$1.1K Volume
18%
$800M
$2.6K Volume
8%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
The field is wide open: $400M tops it at just 38%, with $100M close behind at 23%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
No strong consensus yet: $400M tops the implied probabilities at just 38%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2028 (541 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Total turnover stands at $126.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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