This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Credible's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Credible will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Credible (https://x.com/crediblefin) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
$5M
$256 Volume
94%
$10M
$61 Volume
64%
$20M
$174 Volume
45%
$30M
$125 Volume
25%
$40M
$240 Volume
12%
$50M
$161 Volume
15%
$60M
$320 Volume
13%
$80M
$701 Volume
2%
$100M
$524 Volume
4%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Credible FDV above ___ one day after launch?
At 93%, $5M has pulled far clear of $10M (59%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Credible FDV above ___ one day after launch?
With 93% implied for $5M, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Credible FDV above ___ one day after launch market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2028 (541 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Credible FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$2.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Credible FDV above ___ one day after launch on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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