Global Rates · interest rates

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

$4.5K Volume
31/03/2026 00:00
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Yes
$119.6K Volume
1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) cuts the 7-day reverse repo rate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “cut” refers to any lowering of the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

An official announcement of a cut to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when the rate cut is stated to go into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a cut to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

When does the People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31 market resolve?
This market has already resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published rules.
How much money is trading on People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
Total traded volume on this market is $4.5K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.

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