Iran · Politics

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

$63K Volume
01/01/2027 04:59
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December 31
$29.1K Volume
17%
Resolved 2
July 31
$23.6K Volume
No
September 30
$10.2K Volume
No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by?
Yes is priced at 14% and No at 86%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by?
Traders currently imply a 14% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (59 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by?
Total traded volume on this market is $63K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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