Iran · Politics

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

$15.9K Volume
31/12/2026 00:00
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July 31
$12.1K Volume
6%
September 30
$1.6K Volume
13%
December 31
$2.1K Volume
19%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by?
The field is wide open: December 31 tops it at just 18%, with September 30 close behind at 12%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by?
No strong consensus yet: December 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 18%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (169 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by?
Traders have put $15.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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