This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Fred Wellman
$2.4K Volume
97%
Joan VonDras
$336 Volume
5%
Tim Bilash
$190 Volume
2%
Nick Vivio
$111 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner?
Fred Wellman dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner?
With 96% implied for Fred Wellman, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
Mark 4 Aug 2026 (6 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner?
Total turnover stands at $3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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