primary elections · House Primary

MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner

$29.2K Volume
11/08/2026 00:00
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Ilhan Omar
$23.2K Volume
98%
Latonya Reeves
$6.1K Volume
4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner?
Ilhan Omar dominates the field at 98%; the nearest challenger, Latonya Reeves, trades at just 3%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner?
With 98% implied for Ilhan Omar, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 11 Aug 2026 (32 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner?
$29.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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