This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Major League Baseball player is traded by August 3, 2026, 9:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the listed player is released, retires, not on the active roster for any MLB team or is not under contract with any MLB team by August 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tarik Skubal
$859 Volume
99%
Luis Arraez
91%
Freddy Peralta
91%
Robbie Ray
79%
Reid Detmers
62%
José Soriano
46%
Kevin Gausman
$40 Volume
97%
Mason Miller
$4 Volume
36%
Casey Mize
37%
Zach Neto
19%
Ryan Jeffers
16%
Jarren Duran
16%
Josh Hader
$2.2K Volume
11%
CJ Abrams
12%
Jeremy Pena
$2.6K Volume
7%
Francisco Lindor
$2.3K Volume
5%
Byron Buxton
8%
Joe Ryan
7%
Jung Hoo Lee
9%
Mike Trout
6%
Aroldis Chapman
5%
Shea Langeliers
5%
Juan Soto
5%
Analysis & News
World Cup 2026 Dark Horses: Traders Give 32% That a First-Time Champion Lifts the Trophy
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MLB: Player to be Traded by 2026 Trade Deadline?
Tarik Skubal dominates the field at 94%; the nearest challenger, Luis Arraez, trades at just 89%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for MLB: Player to be Traded by 2026 Trade Deadline?
Traders price Tarik Skubal at a 94% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the MLB: Player to be Traded by 2026 Trade Deadline market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Aug 2026 (5 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on MLB: Player to be Traded by 2026 Trade Deadline?
Traders have put $8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade MLB: Player to be Traded by 2026 Trade Deadline on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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