This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sydney Gruters
$3.1K Volume
98%
Eddie Speir
$305 Volume
6%
Edward Pope
$212 Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for FL-16 Republican Primary Winner?
Sydney Gruters dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for FL-16 Republican Primary Winner?
Traders price Sydney Gruters at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the FL-16 Republican Primary Winner market resolve?
Mark 18 Aug 2026 (26 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on FL-16 Republican Primary Winner?
Total turnover stands at $3.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade FL-16 Republican Primary Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
Gavin Newsom20%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%YesNo
J.D. Vance43%YesNo
Marco Rubio28%YesNo
Darline Graham Nordone70%YesNo
Ralph Norman21%YesNo
Abdul El-Sayed80%YesNo
Haley Stevens22%YesNo
Francesca Hong80%YesNo
David Crowley10%YesNo
Keith Gross53%YesNo
Evan Power26%YesNo
Cori Bush60%YesNo
Wesley Bell39%YesNo
Darline Graham Nordone73%YesNoRalph Norman14%YesNo
