This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Merck & Co. (MRK) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Moderna (MRNA), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both MRK and MRNA or their subsidiaries.
An announcement by MRK or MRNA within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A "controlling interest" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from MRK and MRNA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Yes is the outsider here at 1%, while No trades at 99%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 1%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $425. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
↑ 80,00050%YesNo
↑ 82,50045%YesNo
76,00099%YesNo
78,00099%YesNo
Arsenal52%YesNo
Manchester City20%YesNo








