This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Republican Party
$9.5K Volume
86%
Democratic Party
$6.5K Volume
18%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MD-01 House Election Winner?
Republican Party leads the field at 84%, with Democratic Party next at 16%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for MD-01 House Election Winner?
Traders lean toward Republican Party, pricing it at 84%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the MD-01 House Election Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (115 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on MD-01 House Election Winner?
Traders have put $16K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade MD-01 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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