This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 6%, with No at 95%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 6% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Major CEX insolvent in 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2027 (175 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Traders have put $128.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Major CEX insolvent in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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