This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Jake Auchincloss
$11.3K Volume
99%
Jason Poulos
$5.6K Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MA-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
At 98%, Jake Auchincloss has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for MA-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
With 98% implied for Jake Auchincloss, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the MA-04 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Sep 2026 (9 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on MA-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
$16.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade MA-04 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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