Weather · New York City

Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26?

$14K Volume
26/08/2026 12:00
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55°F or below
$5 Volume
1%
56-57°F
$10 Volume
2%
58-59°F
$10 Volume
3%
60-61°F
$5 Volume
4%
62-63°F
$21 Volume
19%
64-65°F
64%
66-67°F
70%
68-69°F
$803 Volume
29%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
$5 Volume
2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resolution Source: www.weather.gov

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
The current front-runner is 66-67°F at 46%, ahead of 64-65°F at 34%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
Traders currently imply a 46% chance for 66-67°F. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 26 Aug 2026 (2 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
Total traded volume on this market is $14K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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