This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
53°F or below
$107 Volume
2%
54-55°F
$620 Volume
1%
56-57°F
$106 Volume
5%
58-59°F
$273 Volume
4%
60-61°F
$711 Volume
2%
62-63°F
$189 Volume
20%
64-65°F
$267 Volume
31%
66-67°F
$197 Volume
49%
68-69°F
$203 Volume
22%
70-71°F
$433 Volume
4%
72°F or higher
$145 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
The current front-runner is 66-67°F at 38%, ahead of 64-65°F at 29%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Traders currently imply a 38% chance for 66-67°F. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Total traded volume on this market is $13.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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