This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
24°C or below
$2.2K Volume
1%
25°C
$2.7K Volume
1%
26°C
$6.6K Volume
1%
27°C
$7.9K Volume
1%
28°C
$9K Volume
1%
29°C
$13.6K Volume
99%
30°C
$19.8K Volume
1%
31°C
$3.3K Volume
1%
32°C
$694 Volume
1%
33°C
$617 Volume
1%
34°C or higher
$603 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
At 96%, 29°C has pulled far clear of 28°C (1%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
With 96% implied for 29°C, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11 market resolve?
The market runs until 11 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Traders have put $72.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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