CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista

Rosario Central enters the Copa Libertadores round-of-16 first leg at home against Corinthians with the clearest edge, driven by strong recent domestic form, a 67% win rate in their last six home fixtures, and Corinthians missing key attackers Yuri Alberto and Memphis Depay through injury. The implied probabilities reflect this home advantage and the visitors’ travel demands, though Corinthians retain realistic upset potential on the counter. A draw remains the next most likely outcome given the knockout-stage caution typical in these ties, while the away side’s lower share aligns with their thinner attacking options and Rosario Central’s defensive organization on familiar turf.