Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF

Villarreal CF holds a slight edge in trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for the August 28 La Liga fixture at Mendizorrotza, reflecting their greater squad depth and attacking options despite key absences like Gerard Moreno and Sergi Cardona. Deportivo Alavés sit at 32.5% on the back of a strong early-season home record, including a 3-0 win over Getafe and a 1-1 draw with Rayo Vallecano, which has placed them near the top of the table after matchday two. The 26.5% draw price accounts for the evenly matched head-to-head history and Alavés’ defensive organization in front of their supporters. Recent form shows both sides capable of scoring, with Villarreal posting draws against stronger opposition, while Alavés’ suspension of Facundo Garcés adds minor uncertainty to their backline.