Elon · Tech

What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26)

$703 Volume
26/07/2026 23:59
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Tesla
$28 Volume
92%
China
$316 Volume
83%
Claude
17%
Texas
$148 Volume
56%
Trump
$26 Volume
16%
Always
82%
Iran / Iranian
$244 Volume
12%
Soccer
$143 Volume
80%
Never
83%
Neuralink
$250 Volume
53%
Video game / Videogame
82%
ChatGPT
$210 Volume
82%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$710 Volume
10%
IPO
$318 Volume
52%
Football
$196 Volume
92%
President
$392 Volume
30%
Resolved 1
SpaceX
$234 Volume
Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.

Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)

Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.

Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.

Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk

Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26)?
Tesla leads the field at 68%, with China next at 50%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26)?
The market makes Tesla the favorite at 68%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26) market resolve?
The market runs until 26 Jul 2026 (6 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26)?
$703 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26) on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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