This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 11%, with No at 89%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 11% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (175 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $9.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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