This market refers to the tennis match between Taiyo Yamanaka and Shunsuke Mitsui in the ITF Men Astana, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Taiyo Yamanaka' if Taiyo Yamanaka advances against Shunsuke Mitsui.
This market will resolve to 'Shunsuke Mitsui' if Shunsuke Mitsui advances against Taiyo Yamanaka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui
ITF
Shunsuke Mitsui
0-0
–
vs
07/08 05:00
–
Taiyo Yamanaka
0-0
Game context
Both Japanese players compete on outdoor hard courts in the ITF M15 Astana 2 round of 16, with no prior head-to-head record. Shunsuke Mitsui (ATP ~652, career high 517) enters as the clear favorite due to his superior ranking and recent consistency on the ITF circuit, while Taiyo Yamanaka (~808) arrives after a three-set victory over Sergey Petrov in the prior round. The surface favors baseline rallies and strong serving typical of hard-court events at this level, where Mitsui’s experience and higher points total reflect stronger overall results this season. Late withdrawals or fatigue from the tournament schedule could influence the outcome in this closely matched lower-tier professional encounter.
Moneyline
$14.2K Vol.Match Completed
$685 Vol.Set Total
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Set 2 O/U 8.5
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Total Sets: O/U 2.5
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Set 2 O/U 9.5
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
1st Set Total
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Set 1 O/U 8.5
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Set 1 O/U 9.5
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$9 Vol.Set Winner
Total Games
$9 Vol.ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Match O/U 21.5
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Match O/U 22.5
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Match O/U 23.5
Resolution Source: www.itftennis.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui Set 2 O/U 8.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui market resolve?
Mark 14 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui?
$1.3M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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