This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
July 31
$145.2K Volume
3%
August 31
$211 Volume
26%
October 31
$62 Volume
54%
December 31
$782 Volume
45%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by?
Even the leader is cheap - December 31 trades at 44%, October 31 at 32%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by?
No strong consensus yet: December 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 44%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (176 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by?
Total turnover stands at $146.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
Mojtaba Khamenei82%YesNo
Reza Pahlavi5%YesNo
August 3137%YesNo
July 3126%YesNo
August 1524%YesNo
July 3117%YesNo
December 3138%YesNo
September 3019%YesNo
July 3146%YesNo
July 1712%YesNo
August 3120%YesNo
July 3112%YesNo
