This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
26°C or below
$247 Volume
1%
27°C
$397 Volume
1%
28°C
$5K Volume
1%
29°C
$8.3K Volume
1%
30°C
$14.9K Volume
1%
31°C
$15.3K Volume
1%
32°C
$28.7K Volume
1%
33°C
$34.4K Volume
98%
34°C
$25.3K Volume
2%
35°C
$12.6K Volume
1%
36°C or higher
$2.1K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 22?
At 98%, 33°C has pulled far clear of 34°C (2%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 22?
Traders price 33°C at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 22 market resolve?
Mark 22 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 22?
$213.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 22 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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