This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Weather
· Natural Disasters
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes) (Resolved)
≤8
$84.4K Volume
1%
9
$46.6K Volume
1%
10
$26.5K Volume
99%
11
$44.1K Volume
1%
12
$26.3K Volume
3%
13
$18.2K Volume
1%
14+
$22.2K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes) (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes) (Resolved)?
Total turnover stands at $444. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
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