This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
5°C or below
$366 Volume
1%
6°C
$2.1K Volume
1%
7°C
$1.2K Volume
1%
8°C
$4.5K Volume
1%
9°C
$9K Volume
1%
10°C
$22.8K Volume
1%
11°C
$22.8K Volume
99%
12°C
$17.5K Volume
1%
13°C
$7.5K Volume
1%
14°C
$3K Volume
1%
15°C or higher
$1.2K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Wellington on July 27?
At 99%, 11°C has pulled far clear of 12°C (1%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Wellington on July 27?
Traders price 11°C at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Wellington on July 27 market resolve?
Mark 27 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Wellington on July 27?
Traders have put $88.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Wellington on July 27 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
31°C98%YesNo
32°C2%YesNo
28°C39%YesNo
29°C38%YesNo
34°C95%YesNo
35°C4%YesNo
29°C81%YesNo
30°C14%YesNo
30°C96%YesNo
31°C3%YesNo
31°C54%YesNo
30°C35%YesNo
17°C34%YesNo
18°C31%YesNo
33°C71%YesNo
31°C18%YesNo
