This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
18°C or below
$133 Volume
1%
19°C
$213 Volume
1%
20°C
$254 Volume
1%
21°C
$110 Volume
1%
22°C
$10 Volume
2%
23°C
$246 Volume
7%
24°C
$411 Volume
18%
25°C
$247 Volume
38%
26°C
$251 Volume
27%
27°C
$191 Volume
12%
28°C or higher
$935 Volume
4%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 2?
Even the leader is cheap - 25°C trades at 36%, 26°C at 27%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 2?
No strong consensus yet: 25°C tops the implied probabilities at just 36%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 2 market resolve?
The market runs until 2 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 2?
$42.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 2 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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