This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
25°C or below
$221 Volume
1%
26°C
$142 Volume
1%
27°C
$473 Volume
1%
28°C
$3.3K Volume
1%
29°C
$6.4K Volume
1%
30°C
$21.9K Volume
1%
31°C
$14.7K Volume
98%
32°C
$13.7K Volume
4%
33°C
$12.7K Volume
1%
34°C
$7.6K Volume
1%
35°C or higher
$1.7K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
31°C dominates the field at 98%; the nearest challenger, 32°C, trades at just 4%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
Traders price 31°C at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 19 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
Traders have put $130.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 19 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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