This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
26°C or below
$989 Volume
1%
27°C
$2.6K Volume
1%
28°C
$5.1K Volume
1%
29°C
$13.6K Volume
1%
30°C
$25.2K Volume
1%
31°C
$19.5K Volume
1%
32°C
$22.5K Volume
88%
33°C
$18.2K Volume
14%
34°C
$14.9K Volume
1%
35°C
$4.9K Volume
1%
36°C or higher
$1.8K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
32°C dominates the field at 85%; the nearest challenger, 33°C, trades at just 13%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Traders price 32°C at a 85% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Total turnover stands at $181.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
35°C91%YesNo
36°C7%YesNo
28°C31%YesNo
27°C26%YesNo
31°C97%YesNo
32°C5%YesNo
29°C55%YesNo
30°C39%YesNo
32°C99%YesNo
30°C2%YesNo
29°C48%YesNo
28°C30%YesNo
24°C43%YesNo
25°C39%YesNo
11°C99%YesNo
9°C1%YesNo
