Weather · New York City

Highest temperature in NYC on August 16?

$139.6K Volume
16/08/2026 12:00
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71°F or below
$211 Volume
1%
72-73°F
$214 Volume
1%
74-75°F
$24.4K Volume
1%
76-77°F
$8.4K Volume
7%
78-79°F
$6K Volume
18%
80-81°F
$3.2K Volume
52%
82-83°F
$5.3K Volume
26%
84-85°F
$3.5K Volume
4%
86-87°F
$1.9K Volume
1%
88-89°F
$1.5K Volume
1%
90°F or higher
$582 Volume
1%

This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Highest temperature in NYC on August 16?
No runaway leader here - 80-81°F at 52% versus 82-83°F at 26%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in NYC on August 16?
Traders give 80-81°F a 52% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Highest temperature in NYC on August 16 market resolve?
Mark 16 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in NYC on August 16?
Traders have put $139.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in NYC on August 16 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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