This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
34°C or below
$9.5K Volume
1%
35°C
$8.8K Volume
1%
36°C
$10.3K Volume
6%
37°C
$14.3K Volume
73%
38°C
$17K Volume
23%
39°C
$11.4K Volume
1%
40°C
$6.4K Volume
1%
41°C
$9.7K Volume
1%
42°C
$8.6K Volume
1%
43°C
$1.1K Volume
1%
44°C or higher
$718 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Madrid on July 21?
37°C leads the field at 72%, with 38°C next at 23%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Madrid on July 21?
The market makes 37°C the favorite at 72%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Highest temperature in Madrid on July 21 market resolve?
Mark 21 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Madrid on July 21?
Total turnover stands at $119.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Madrid on July 21 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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