This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
25°C or below
$376 Volume
1%
26°C
$1.4K Volume
1%
27°C
$2.2K Volume
1%
28°C
$20.1K Volume
1%
29°C
$25.7K Volume
1%
30°C
$41.7K Volume
99%
31°C
$22.6K Volume
1%
32°C
$26.5K Volume
1%
33°C
$19.3K Volume
1%
34°C
$12.5K Volume
1%
35°C or higher
$2.2K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 21?
At 99%, 30°C has pulled far clear of 31°C (1%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 21?
Traders price 30°C at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 21 market resolve?
The market runs until 21 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 21?
Total turnover stands at $227.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 21 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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